Support for Iran Unchanged; Optimism Lowers

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  • Currently, 40% of voters favor President Trump’s attacks on Iran, and 46% oppose.
    • That is nearly identical to Sunday’s numbers, when 40% favored and 47% opposed.
    • Republicans favor the efforts by a margin of 74% to 12%.
    • Democrats oppose by a similar margin of 77% to 14%.
  • However, the number believing regime change is likely has fallen 5 points to 50%.
    • The number who believe regime change is not likely to happen has stayed steady, dropping 1 point to 29%.
    • Republicans say regime change is likely by a 65% to 16% margin.
    • Democrats are split: 42% say it is likely, while 39% disagree.
    • However, while 35% of Republicans say it is Very Likely, just 16% of Democrats agree.
  • As Scott Rasmussen explained in a recent briefing, while voters’ minds can be changed, speed is critical to voter support.
    • Among voters who say the attacks will be successful in bringing about regime change, a majority (53%) say that it will take at least a few months.
    • This is longer than President Trump’s initial stated timeline, though that has since shifted.
    • Another 37% say it will take a few weeks or less.
  • In addition, while Trump has not ruled out “boots on the ground,” American voters are firmly against the idea.
    • Just 31% of voters favor sending in U.S. ground troops if necessary, while 55% are opposed.
    • Those numbers include just 9% who Strongly Favor the idea, while 34% Strongly Oppose it.
    • Trump-policy voters are the only group with a majority (56%) in favor of the idea.
  • Overall, President Trump’s ratings on the situation in Iran are close to his support numbers for the attacks: 42% approve of his handling of the situation, and 49% do not.
    • Those numbers include 22% who Strongly Approve, while 35% Strongly Disapprove.
    • As expected, the breakdowns follow party lines.

This data is from a Napolitan News Service survey of 1,000 Registered Voters conducted online by Scott Rasmussen, March 2-3, 2026. RMG Research, Inc., conducted the field work for the survey. It has a margin of error of +/- 3.1.