Popularity of Trans Issues Simply a Mirage

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• A majority of Republicans (62%) and nearly half (45%) of Democrats believe that most Democratic voters support biological males playing in women’s sports. This is simply not true.
  • In fact, just 32% of Democrats support men playing in women’s sports.
  • On the left, nearly 6 in 10 (55%) of AOC-policy voters think men in women’s sports is the dominant view, compared to just 34% of Traditional Democratic voters.
• Similarly, a majority in BOTH parties believes that most Democratic voters support letting transgender people use the bathrooms of their choice.
  • In reality, Democrats are divided on the issue: 42% support transgender bathroom choice, and 46% oppose it.
  • Again, a solid majority (60%) of AOC-policy voters believe this view is dominant within the party, compared to 45% of Traditional Democratic voters.
• A solid majority of Republican voters say that Democratic political leaders support both transgender issues, though Democrats are less convinced about their politicians.
  • Forty-three percent (43%) of Democrats believe most of their party leaders support men in women’s sports, while 44% disagree.
  • Fifty-four percent (54%) of Democrats believe most of their leaders support transgender restroom choice, while 38% disagree.
• At its core, American voters are more unified than their politicians want them to believe.

See more issues on how parties view each other in the toplines and Crosstabs.

This data is from a Napolitan News Service survey of 1,000 Registered Voters conducted online by Scott Rasmussen, February 25-26, 2026. RMG Research, Inc., conducted the field work for the survey. It has a margin of error of +/- 3.1.