January Party ID: Dems Start Year in the Lead, Rep 44%, Dem 45%

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• In the full month of January, 44% of voters considered themselves Republican or leaned Republican, while 45% considered themselves Democrats or leaned Democrat.
  • For Republicans, this number has trended down. It is 1 point down from December and November, and 2 points down from October.
  • Meanwhile, for Democrats the number is up 2 points from December, and up 1 point from November and October.
  • When leaners are removed, the Republicans have a 2-point advantage (37% Republicans to 35% Democrats).
• From November 2024 through December 2025, Republicans held a party edge every month, except one.
  • In April 2025, when tariffs were announced, Democrats had an edge as they do this month.
  • This Napolitan News survey is based upon interviews with 9,239 registered voters. A description of the dynamic party weighting methodology used to obtain these results is available here.
• See the December, November, and October results.

This data is from a Napolitan News Service survey of 9,239 Registered Voters conducted online by Scott Rasmussen, January 2026. RMG Research, Inc., conducted the field work for the survey. It has a margin of error of +/- 1.2.