Iran Support Hits New Low: Voters Split on if Iran Was a Threat Prior to Attacks

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• Just 33% of voters now favor the attacks on Iran, while 59% opposed them.
  • This is the lowest measure of support we’ve measured so far, surpassing the 34% we’ve seen twice since the war began.
  • Just 16% Strongly Favor the attacks, while 42% Strongly Oppose them.
  • As has been the case for some time, Trump-policy voters support the attacks, Traditional GOP voters are split evenly, and Democrats are opposed.
• Approval of Trump’s handling of the situation in Iran has also tied a low, with just 36% approving and 60% disapproving.
• Just 40% of voters say that Iran was a threat to the national security of the United States prior to the attacks, down 8 points from the start of the war.
  • Slightly more (42%) disagree. That number is up 10 points, and marks the first time more have said Iran was not a threat to national security than that it was a threat.
  • As expected, Republicans say Iran was a threat and Democrats disagree. A plurality (42%) of independent voters say it was not a threat.
• Currently, 53% of voters say it is at least Somewhat Likely that Iran was close to developing a nuclear weapon and missile that could reach the U.S., while 40% disagree.
  • The number saying Iran was not a threat is at a new high, up 5 points from the start of April and up 13 points since the war began.
  • The number saying it is at least Somewhat Likely is down 1 point from April.
  • One in 4 voters (24%) say it is Very Likely Iran was close to developing a nuclear weapon, while 12% say it is Not At All Likely.

This data is from a Napolitan News Service survey of 1,000 Registered Voters conducted online by Scott Rasmussen, May 13-14, 2026. RMG Research, Inc., conducted the field work for the survey. It has a margin of error of +/- 3.1.