Generic Ballot: GOP 44% Dem 44%
- The latest Napolitan News Generic Ballot survey found that, if the election were held today, 44% would vote for the Republican from their district, and 44% would vote for the Democrat.
- When leaners are included, the race remains even at 47%.
- A month ago, Republicans had a four-point advantage.
- The GOP currently leads by seven points among men while Democrats lead by seven among women.
- A month ago, the R’s had a much bigger 17-point advantage among men.

The most recent data cited is from a Napolitan News Service survey of 2,000 Registered Voters conducted online by Scott Rasmussen August 18-21, 2025. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. and has a margin of error of +/- 2.2.