Generic Ballot: GOP 44% Dem 44%

  • The latest Napolitan News Generic Ballot survey found that, if the election were held today, 44% would vote for the Republican from their district, and 44% would vote for the Democrat.
    • When leaners are included, the race remains even at 47%.
  • A month ago, Republicans had a four-point advantage.
  • The GOP currently leads by seven points among men while Democrats lead by seven among women.
    • A month ago, the R’s had a much bigger 17-point advantage among men.

 


The most recent data cited is from a Napolitan News Service survey of 2,000 Registered Voters conducted online by Scott Rasmussen August 18-21, 2025. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. and has a margin of error of +/- 2.2.