CNN’s Harry Enten Says Trump Will Likely ‘Close The Gap’ On Election Day, Even If Harris Leads In Early Voting

CNN senior data reporter Harry Enten said Monday that former President Donald Trump is likely to “close the gap” with Vice President Kamala Harris on Election Day, despite her potential early voting lead.

The race between Trump and Harris has continued to tighten as the November election approaches, with polls showing Trump slightly ahead in several key battleground states. On “CNN News Central,” co-host Boris Sanchez asked Enten if Democrats have been taking “advantage of early and mail-in voting,” just before Enten pointed out how the voting patterns have shifted this year due to the COVID-19 pandemic’s impact on the 2020 election.

“We certainly expect it to be the case, my dear friend. So if we essentially take a look at what we‘re expecting, right? The polling margin — look Kamala Harris is almost certainly going to win that vote by mail. She leads in an average of the recent polls, get this, by 43 points,” Enten said.

“That early in-person voting, that‘s going to be pretty split down the middle. Look, you‘ve got Trump by two [points] here,” Enten continued. “That‘s well within any margin of error, I don‘t know, maybe Harris wins it by two [points] when you tally it all up. But the bottom line is it’s very close.”

Enten continued to highlight how Election Day is expected to be “very good” for Trump but also cautioned that the race remains “too close to call.”

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“But then we‘re expecting that Election Day vote to be very good for Donald Trump. And the average polling, we see him up by 17 [points],” Enten said. “But here’s the key nugget to keep in mind, all of these votes count the same at the end of the day.”

“Yes, you‘d like to bank some early votes than you can put your get-out-the-vote efforts into some other camps. But the bottom line is, even if Harris leads in that early count because of this it‘s mail vote, Donald Trump is very likely going to close the gap pretty quickly on Election Day,” Enten added. “And that is why this race is too close to call my friends.”

With polls and pundits warning Democrats that the vice president is falling behind Trump with key voting blocs, particularly black men and Hispanics, Harris’ campaign has made efforts to appeal to these voters over the past month. On Oct. 10, Harris had former President Barack Obama join her rally in Pennsylvania, but he quickly faced backlash for scolding voters who remain undecided.