38% Believe That the U.S. Is in a Recession

  • Almost 4 in 10 voters (38%) say the country is currently in a recession, up 1 point from 2 weeks ago and up 2 points from a month ago.
    • Thirty-seven percent (37%) say the U.S. is not in a recession, up 1 point from 2 weeks ago.
    • One quarter (25%) are Not Sure.
    • A majority of Democrats (56%) say the U.S. is in a recession, while only 19% disagree.
    • One in 5 Republicans (20%) say the country is in a recession, but 56% disagree.
  • Among the 38% who say the U.S. is in a recession, 65% say it will not end in the next 6 months.
    • Conversely, among the 37% of voters who say we are not in a recession, 60% say the U.S. will not enter a recession in the next 6 months.
    • As always, the party in power is more optimistic.

See also: Opinions on the Economy and Personal Finances.


This data is from a Napolitan News Service survey of 1,000 Registered Voters conducted online by Scott Rasmussen, April 13-14, 2026. RMG Research, Inc., conducted the field work for the survey. It has a margin of error of +/- 3.1.